Thursday, April 25, 2013

Hong Kong shares close at highest in a month, property sinks China


Hong Kong shares closed at their highest in about a month on Thursday, spurred by recovering commodity prices and positive quarterly earnings from China Minsheng Bank, the country’s seventh-largest lender.

But a weak property sector dragged mainland Chinese markets to a third loss in four sessions. The CSI300 of the leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listings slid 1.1 per cent. The Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.9 per cent.

Minsheng’s first quarter earnings were pretty solid, but much of its gains ... today were down to short coveringJackson Wong, Tanrich SecuritiesShort selling interest in Minsheng Bank’s H-share listing averaged 26 per cent in the first three days of the week, way above the 9.8 per cent average for the broader Hong Kong market.

On Thursday, Minsheng’s Hong Kong shares jumped 4.8 per cent to its highest since March 28 after China’s seventh-largest listed bank posted a 20 per cent rise in first quarter net profit from a year earlier.

But its Shanghai listing fell 2 per cent, tracking losses in the Chinese banking sector on the mainland after regulators ordered banks to report suspicious or irregular fixed-income transactions as part of a clampdown on the country’s vast interbank market.

The People’s Bank of China, which regulates the 24.4 trillion yuan (HK$30.38 trillion) interbank bond market, told commercial banks at a closed-door meeting on Wednesday that it was preparing tougher regulation to deal with substitute holdings.

Chinese property developers listed in the mainland were among the biggest index drags after the China Business News reported that the banking regulator has instructed lenders to stop extending loans to developers guilty of “malpractices”.

This came after data from the central bank showed China’s outstanding real estate loans in the first quarter rose 16.4 percent from the same period a year ago, even as overall industrial lending slowed.

Poly Real Estate tumbled 3.3 per cent in Shanghai, while China Vanke skidded 2.8 per cent in Shenzhen.

Commodities-related stocks were broadly higher as gold and copper prices rose to their highest in a week following a recent plunge in the physical markets. Zijin Mining, China’s biggest gold miner, jumped 4.9 per cent in Hong Kong in its best day since November.

Jiangxi Copper spiked 4.4 per cent in Hong Kong and a more modest 0.6 per cent in Shanghai, also helped by an upgrade by UBS from “hold” to “buy” with analysts believing its share price after the recent selloff, now represents an attractive risk-reward profile.

First quarter earnings were in also in focus, as Haitong Securities climbed 1.9 per cent in Hong Kong and 0.5 per cent in Shanghai after posting favourable results.

Bank of China, the first of the “Big Four” Chinese banks to post quarterly earnings later in the day along with a clutch of bellwether Chinese companies, inched up 0.6 per cent in Hong Kong.

China Unicom, the country’s second-largest mobile provider, slipped 0.2 per cent ahead of its first quarter earnings. After markets closed, Unicom said quarterly net profit jumped 90 per cent from a year earlier.


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Monday, April 22, 2013

Hong Kong Property Home Owners Start to Cut Prices

引用: http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2013/04/16/hong-kong-home-owners-start-to-cut-prices/

Hong Kong Property Home Owners Start to Cut Prices


After years of trying unsuccessfully to throw cold water on its overheated Hong Kong Property arket, Hong Kong’s efforts may be finally meeting with some success.

Faced with record-low transaction levels, sellers are starting to lower their asking prices, agents say, especially in the city’s New Territories region, which borders mainland China and is home to generally lower-priced apartments.

For months, the city’s housing market has stalled, as prices stayed stubbornly high and buyers sat on their cash.

Last month, says BNP Paribas Hong Kong Property nalyst Patrick Wong, sales of Hong Kong homes dropped to levels not seen since the city was struck by the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) pandemic in 2003, when the city was seized with fear and some of its neighborhoods turned into virtual ghost towns.

Now, as sellers start to cut their prices, says Mr. Wong, volume has begun to pick up again.

“March was really bad on the secondary market,” he says. “It’s still at a low level, but we see some Hong Kong Property owners are willing to lower their asking prices, so in April we’re seeing some rebound in terms of volume.”

According to Centaline Hong Kong Property gency research head Wong Leung-sing, sellers in the New Territories have been cutting prices by about 5%. That’s in part because those areas have already seen greater price pressure, thanks to some 5,000 new units completed in the area in 2012. Out of about 13,600 new units slated for completion this year, 83% of them are located in the New Territories, further deepening pressure on secondary-market sellers, he says.

One real estate agent, Constance Wong, says that a recent deal she negotiated was in Sai Kung, a picturesque coastal section of the New Territories, for a Hong Kong Property hat the seller had first tried to unload for HK$25 million (US$3.2 million). In the end, it sold for HK$22 million (US$2.8 million), she said—at a 12% discount.

But so far, though, shoppers seeking price relief outside the New Territories are having a harder time of it, says Centaline’s Mr. Wong. “It’s a very rare case on Hong Kong island where they are cutting,” he says. “And even if they cut 2-5% from the peak [price], the peak is so high—it’s not that significant for buyers.”

In recent years, Hong Kong’s government has launched multiple rounds of cooling measures to try and bring prices down, including the creation of higher down-payment requirements and extra taxes on properties resold in a short period of time.

Last October, in an attempt to stave off mainland Chinese buyers who’ve helped push up Hong Kong Property rices in the city, the government levied a 15% tax on residential purchases by any non-locals. Still, prices stayed high—and even continued to creep up, rising by as much as 2% in January. Since 2008, prices have more than doubled.

Hong Kong is one of the least affordable Hong Kong Property arkets in the world, where buying a home costs the equivalent of 14 years of a worker’s salary.

Chief executive Leung Chun-ying, who took office last year, has talked extensively about the need to address the city’s affordability problem through a mix of demand-oriented measures, as well as increased supply. According to official figures, 15,800 units are expected to be completed next year in Hong Kong, a 17% increase over this year’s total.

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Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Hong Kong Property Corporation chief hints at price rises in risky property market


引用: http://www.scmp.com

Homebuyers may have to pay more for mortgage insurance because the leading provider, the Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation, is looking to offset its risk in guaranteeing their loans in a risky Hong Kong Property
 market where prices remain at near-record highs.

Its chief executive, Raymond Li Ling-cheung, did not rule out yesterday the possibility of price increases in its mortgage insurance programme.

The government-owned firm has previously revised its programme to manage exposure to volatility in the market, he said.

"I see the risk is still at a high level, and we are more concerned about risk exposure than the volume of our business," Li said at a news conference to present the corporation's results for last year.

There had been a slight improvement in Hong Kong Property arket risk after the government introduced fresh cooling measures in February, but he remained cautious in view of the high prices.

Hong Kong Property prices have increased far more than people's incomes in recent years, making homes less affordable to most.

Now that Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Hang Seng Bank have launched fixed-rate mortgage plans, Li said the corporation would promote its fixed-rate mortgage plan as well, but he said the firm would not compete on price.

The corporation's net profit fell 10.4 per cent last year on the previous year to HK$1.13 billion as its two key businesses shrank. New loans drawn under the mortgage insurance programme fell 16.3 per cent to HK$22 billion.

Purchases of income-generating loan assets fell 91 per cent to HK$865 million as banks awash in liquidity felt less need to sell them to the firm to raise cash.

Li said he expected purchases of loan assets to stay low while easy liquidity prevailed. The firm bought just HK$46 million of loan assets in the first quarter.

The two key businesses were shrinking because of the economic cycle, Li said, but the firm's policy initiatives businesses were growing. These are a reverse mortgage scheme, a microfinance programme and a financing guarantee scheme for small and medium-sized enterprises.

Li said cash flow from these businesses has enabled the firm to pay a higher dividend to the government - a total of HK$750 million, more than double the HK$350 million for 2011.

Only the corporation had the capital strength and responsibility to introduce the "not profitable" policy initiatives business for the government, Li said.

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Monday, April 15, 2013

New Hong Kong flat supply


引用: http://www.scmp.com/


New Hong Kong Property supply 



New flat supply in the city is projected to climb to an eight-year high next year, easing the upward pressure on home prices.

Preliminary figures from the Rating and Valuation Department's "Hong Kong Property Review 2013" report shows that 15,820 new flats will go on the market next year, 16.8 per cent more than this year's expected total of 13,550 units.

"The projection for completion of new flats next year will be the highest since 2006," said Patrick Chow Moon-kit, head of research at Ricacorp Properties.

In 2006, 16,579 new flats went on the market.

Midland Realty chief analyst Buggle Lau Ka-fai said up to 16,000 new flats could go on the market this year, up 42.85 per cent from last year's 11,200.

According to the government's report, nearly 83 per cent of completed flats will be in the Hong Kong Property this year, with Tseung Kwan O and Yuen Long each providing a quarter of the fresh supply.

With competition from the primary market, Chow said  the Hong Kong Property  rise in prices in the secondary residential market would also ease.

The Centa-City Leading Index, which tracks sales at 100 major housing estates in the city, fell for two consecutive weeks to March 31 to 123.01, down 0.52 per cent, after reaching a record 123.66 for the week to March 17.

Overall home sales also fell 30 per cent last month, reflecting a drop in buying interest following the new stamp duty.

On February 22, the government doubled the stamp duty on Hong Kong Property worth more than HK$2 million, and last month some of the city's biggest banks raised their mortgage rates.

The government announced yesterday that two residential sites would be put out for tender next month. Surveyors expect them to fetch between HK$3.7 billion and HK$3.97 billion in total.

One of them is a 283,112 square feet site situated in Tseung Kwan O, which can yield a maximum gross floor area of 821,028 sq ft. The government has stipulated the winning bidder has to build at least 840 flats on the site.

Midland Surveyors director Alvin Lam Tsz-pun said he expected this site to attract keen interest from developers and fetch HK$3.8 billion, or HK$4,600 per buildable square foot.

The estimate is higher than HK$4,301 per square foot Wheelock Properties paid for a neighbouring site on Wednesday.

Centaline Surveyors estimated the Hong Kong Property site would sell for HK$4,300 per square foot, or HK$3.53 billion.

Another smaller site, in Tuen Mun's So Kwun Wat, is 37,211 sq ft and can yield up to 48,374 sq ft of gross floor area. It is expected to sell for HK$170 million to HK$193.5 million, or HK$3,500 to HK$4,000 per square foot. The tender for the two sites will open on May 10 and close on June 21.

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Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Hong Kong home sellers begin to drop prices to lure buyers in depressed market

quto: http://www.scmp.com/

Hong Kong home sellers have begun cutting their asking prices in response to weakening buying sentiment, Hong Kong Property  agents say.

The government's cooling measures "have created a severe situation for sellers", Centaline Hong Kong Property anaging director Louis Chan Wing-kit said. "Some have waited for up to 40 days to clinch a deal, so now they feel they need to lower prices."

When market sentiment is positive it is not uncommon for deals to be done within 24 hours. The turnaround follows a 23 per cent rise in prices for second-hand flats of small and medium size last year.

About a tenth of owners were now willing to cut their asking price by 5 per cent to 10 per cent to get a sale, Chan said. After some cut prices, sales rebounded slightly but still remained at a very low level. "It is still a very quiet market and more sellers are likely to cut prices as they discover no one is coming to view their flats, or those who do come look but do not buy."

In the week ending April 7, 82 flats sold on the 50 private housing estates monitored by Ricacorp Properties, up 39 per cent on the ultra-low level of 59 transactions the previous week in the aftermath of the latest cooling measures, but well below 2012's average of 245 sales per week.

Ricacorp director David Chan said some sellers had cut prices because of fears of a bird flu outbreak and the North Korea situation. But in Shanghai, the epicentre of the latest bird flu outbreak, analysts said real estate sentiment had not been affected.

Midland Realty chief analyst Buggle Lau Ka-fai noted that sellers had begun to leave more room for price negotiation since the end of the Easter holiday.

In the new-homes market, 33 flats sold on April 6 and 7, down by two-thirds from the 97 sold during the previous, four-day weekend and the lowest total this year, BNP Paribas said.

Henderson Land and New World sold seven flats at The Reach at the weekend, sharply down on the 44 sold the previous weekend, and CSI Properties and ITC Group sold eight flats at their yoo Residence in Causeway Bay.

BNP Paribas Hong Kong Property nalysts Patrick Wong Chi-leung said sales at some projects remained weak, and there were no sales at Sun Hung Kai Properties' luxury project Riva in Yuen Long and Sino Land's Park Ivy in Tai Kok Tsui at the weekend.

"In projects where sales are weak, developers may monitor the market situation first before cutting prices or they may offer some stamp duty rebates to woo buyers," Wong said.

Potential launches in April include Cheung Kong's 402-flat The Rise in Kwai Chung and the Kowloon Development-Urban Renewal Council project MacPherson Place in Mong Kok, which will offer 293 flats. Kerry Properties' Bayview in Hung Hom may also be put on the market this month.

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Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Hong Kong Property Stamp Duty Amendments


引用: http://www.tax-news.com/news/Hong_Kong_Gazettes_Stamp_Duty_Amendments____60369.html

The Stamp Duty (Amendment) Bill 2013, which aims to implement the new measures that the Government announced on February 22 to further address the overheated Hong Kong Property market, was gazetted in Hong Kong on April 5.

The measures are an increase in the ad valorem stamp duty (AVD) rates on transactions for residential and non-residential properties; and a bringing forward of the charging of AVD on non-residential Hong Kong Property ransactions from the conveyance on sale to the agreement for sale, to tally with the existing arrangement for residential properties.


"By further managing the demand for residential properties and combating short-term resale activities in respect of non-residential properties, we hope that the proposed new measures will help to address the overheated Hong Kong Property market," the spokesman said.

"In drafting the Bill, with reference to the existing SSD and the proposed BSD regimes, we propose to grant exemptions from the enhanced AVD rates under specified circumstances," he added. "We also propose to put in place a refund mechanism for redevelopment projects and HKPRs who acquire a new residential Hong Kong Property before disposing of their original one."


The Government took those measures after an increase to the Special Stamp Duty (SSD) rate and its restriction period, and the introduction of a 15% Buyer's Stamp Duty (BSD) on resident properties purchased by those who are not Hong Kong permanent residents (HKPRs), in October last year, had had no lasting effect on Hong Kong Property price inflation by early 2013.

With effect from February 23, 2013, the Government has doubled across the board the rates of existing AVD applicable to both residential and non-residential properties. For transactions valued at HKD2m (USD257,500) or below, the stamp duty will increase from HKD100 to 1.5% per cent of the consideration of the transaction.

A government spokesman said the new measures are applicable to all persons, except HKPRs, buying residential properties but who do not own any such Hong Kong Property in Hong Kong on the date of acquisition.



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Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Hong Kong: Real estate prices shed light on rising inequality


引用: http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130402/hong-kong-real-estate-prices-shed-light-rising-inequality

Hong Kong property — There are few places for ordinary people to escape the mobs of tourists, touts and handbag hawkers in Tsim Sha Tsui — Hong Kong’s commercial hub — but for members of the city’s upper crust, there’s always the Platinum Lounge.

Tucked away in the perfume section of luxury retailer Lane Crawford, the Platinum Lounge is available to cardholders who spend more than $10,000 a year at the department store. Inside this opulent oasis, uniformed attendants bring free drinks and mushroom quiche on silver trays. An original Andy Warhol screen print hangs from the wall.

I am here on the invitation of Don, 30, for whom the platinum membership is an afterthought. A member of the city’s elite, Don said that in a typical month, he spends around $13,000 on his credit cards, though in December the total came to $65,000. The free miles he earns on these sums have taken him to Japan, Thailand, Singapore, Morocco, Germany, and Malaysia in the last year alone.

We are here to discuss inequality in Hong Kong property  which has one of the steepest wealth gaps in Asia. Since 2001, the city’s Gini coefficient — a measure of inequality from 0 to 1, in which a score of one indicates a country where all the income goes to one person — has risen from 0.525 to 0.537, higher than New York City or Washington, DC.

“I’m not that moved by the unequal distribution of wealth,” says Don, a pseudonym used at his request. “It’s never going to be perfect. Communism has taught us that doesn’t work.”

Don freely admits that he and his cohort of young, wealthy Hong Kongers have become the objects of local resentment. That marks a change from the 1980s and 1990s, he says, when wealthy people and tycoons such as Li Ka Shing were widely admired.

“The middle and working classes no longer feel like they have the opportunity to become rich,” Don says. “You hear a lot more snide comments.”

More so than perhaps anywhere else, conspicuous consumption remains part of the lifeblood ofHong Kong property. This city of 7 million owns more Rolls Royces and drinks more cognac per capita than any place on Earth. It has the world’s most expensive retail real estate and the highest concentration of luxury stores. And Hong Kong is consistently ranked as having the “freest” economy in the world, thanks to its low income taxes and untaxed capital gains.

But as with other places around the world, inequality has become so great that social tensions are increasing. Public anger over unaffordable housing and inequality erupted repeatedly in 2012. In July, up to 400,000 people took to the streets following the inauguration of new Chief Executive CY Leung. Between 2001 and 2010, incomes for Hong Kong’s top 10 percent grew by 60 percent, while the bottom 10 percent saw their incomes drop by a fifth.

“Over the last 15 years, things have gotten worse for poor people in Hong Kong property,” said Lee Tai Shing, chief community organizer for an alliance of CSSA, an alliance of anti-poverty organizations.


The growing gap is attributable to several inexorable trends. Over the last two decades the city’s economy has hollowed out, as manufacturers seeking cheaper labor moved factories across the border into China. In addition, Hong Kong’s population is aging fast. In 2011, the median age of Hong Kong property as 41, and more than 28 percent of households included an elderly person over age 65. Every public park is filled with elderly retirees playing Chinese chess, or taking advantage of free seating. Finally, expansion in the city’s high-flying financial sector has concentrated income gains in the hands of a few high-skilled workers.

“After the financial crisis, our economy became more rigid. More than 90 percent of our economy is now services, where income grows slower. Now we don’t see upward mobility,” says Li Kui-wai, professor of economics at the City University of Hong Kong.

But perhaps the single biggest factor in rising inequality is real estate. By just about any measure, Hong Kong is the world’s most expensive place to own a home. Since 2009, housing prices have surged 85 percent, exceeding their peak before the real-estate bubble burst in 1997. To buy a one-bedroom, 852-square-foot apartment at The Belcher’s, a building on the west side of Hong Kong island, costs over $1.5 million. (For reference, that’s a little smaller than a badminton court.) At the upper end, houses on Victoria Peak — the tallest mountain on Hong Kong island — start selling at $20 million or more. In November, a Frank Gehry-designed apartment on the peak sold for an astounding $60 million.

Even for ordinary homes, housing prices have been on a relentless tear. The median home price in Hong Kong is now nearly 13 times the annual median household income, according to the research group Demographia. In the US that figure is three.

Such statistics help explain the plight of people like Woo Shin, 62. Woo — a spry man sporting sandals on a January afternoon — lives with his wife in a “cubicle” in Kowloon that was created by splitting a single apartment into four units. Their entire living quarters measures 60 square feet. (That’s a bit bigger than a ping-pong table.) The apartment’s single door can open barely halfway. Almost all of the apartment is taken up by the bed, which lies heaped with laundry and spare bags. The stove, which is at the foot of the bed, stands beside the toilet. Rent is $280 a month.

“Living in that place is very hard,” Woo said. “I like doing calligraphy, but I can’t even open a piece of paper. When I have a guest, there’s nowhere to sit. … I sometimes feel like I’m a wandering ghost. It’s not a home.”

Woo’s wife works as a security guard, making Hong Kong’s minimum wage of $3.87 an hour. They have applied for public housing — small, heavily subsidized apartments — and have been on the wait list for nearly three years. Almost half of Hong Kong property  population now lives in these public housing estates: massive, 40-story high-rises that lie on the far edges of the city. Residents are typically granted about 140 square feet per person, and the average rent ranges from $33 a month to $450. The wait list as of March of last year was more than 189,000 people long.

The government of Chief Executive CY Leung, who took office last summer, has given some poor people hope by promising to tamp down on the real-estate frenzy, and expand the availability of public housing. In late 2012, he rolled out a measure intended to discourage foreign — and, more particularly, mainland Chinese — buyers of Hong Kong property by imposing a 15 percent tax on property purchased by non-residents. Yet many doubt that Leung will allow prices to fall significantly.


“If he wants to make fair policies, he will have to conflict with business people,” says Lee, the community organizer. “I don’t think he has the guts to do it.”

“It’s not going to work because the whole system is so speculative,” says Li, the economist. “The political will is not there. … All the leaders in Hong Kong here, they all have multiple homes. So do you expect them to reduce their wealth? Nobody likes to see a drop in property price. It’s a very selfish attitude, but that’s how it is.”

Among the wealthy in Hong Kong property  there’s even a feeling that the government is perhaps already giving too much. At the Platinum Lounge, Don remarked that while Hong Kong people take to the streets to air their discontents quite frequently, they actually enjoy a higher quality of life than most of the world--including America.

“I think the lower and working class don’t have it so bad, because there’s housing, health care, education. The access is still there, which is more than can be said for more than most places," he said.

“Here, you live in a room as big as two of these carpets,” he said, gesturing at the silver rug beneath our feet, “and your toilet’s the size of that stool. But it’s effectively free. And your kids can go to school. If you get cancer tomorrow, your health care is taken care of... Maybe people should be given more opportunities, but I don’t think society is necessarily unfair. Obviously there aren’t enough resources to go around so that everyone can live the way I live.”

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